Lukashenko proposes to distribute the soldiers stick

In his opinion, the battalions of the CSTO should be adapted to combat the popular revolts in the allied countries.
On Wednesday at Triumph Square in Moscow Metropolitan Police once again arrested a group of activists of the unregistered party opposition Other Russia, attempted to arrange another unsanctioned rally in support of Article 31 of the Constitution, which guarantees freedom of assembly. In jail the opposition pulled hefty guys with distinctive signs of the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs. Meanwhile, it is possible that soon in the suppression of these statements will be involved, and soldiers from other countries. Namely - the ones that are included in the Organization of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO). The idea of ​​using military units allied countries, we attempt to suppress the revolution in the CSTO member states suggested that the President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko.


- It's not just the application of the collective rapid reaction force (RRF ) in the case of interference by other State outside, but also in the case of intervention of other states within the CSTO, ...


So what happens? . These forces would be used for a ... Now it is proposed to give the forces of the CSTO a completely new function - to prepare them for the suppression of riots and civil commotions. Why do it? .


Using the forces of the CSTO in order to protect against such transformations has been to Lukashenko is so fundamental that it raised the question of expulsion from the organization of those states that refuse to participate in this. That objectors will be - there is no doubt. Do not want to same Uzbekistan in 2009 to sign documents on the possibility of deployment of the Collective Security Treaty Organization in the territory of the Member States in time of peace.


Experts are now wondering whether to accept the proposal of the Belarusian leader? . Moreover, apparently, in private meetings the heads of CSTO member states this idea, at least, discussed. Most likely, after the summer of last year, when ethnic clashes flared up in Kyrgyzstan. The new head of the republic Otunbayeva was powerless against the raging gang, smashed homes and killed natives with their families. Battalions of the CSTO, apparently, seemed the only real salvation Otunbayeva. Requests for the immediate entry of coalition forces in the republic of official Bishkek to Moscow just flunked.


However, the emergence of military units Collective Rapid Deployment of smoldering ruins of the Kyrgyz threatened to bring the conflict to a new level of bitterness. Therefore, in the Russian capital have decided to exercise restraint. Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said that the use of CSTO forces is possible only if attacked from the outside on one of the states, which is a member of. ... And Bishkek had himself to restore order in their own home.


What happened next suggests that the Kremlin and its allies under pressure began to change dramatically declared was Medvedev 's position. This is confirmed by the military action. For example, in October last year, First Deputy Chief of Joint Staff of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, Colonel-General Anatoly Nogovitsyn said that international forces are subordinate to him will soon begin to receive water cannon armament, traumatic gun, tear gas and stun grenades. These funds belong to the so -called non-lethal weapons. Water jets are known to be an enemy tank columns are not dispersed. Then what would be the appearance of such exotic for the armed forces of infantry in the armory CSTO?.




In the proposal by itself is not Alexander Lukashenko, in general, nothing wrong or unusual, says former deputy. Security Council Secretary Vladimir Rubanov. ... - In Belarus, many do not like his politics, that Lukashenko and trying to protect another and thus. In general, the CSTO has quite elaborate procedures for collective decision-making. I think that if they are respected, nothing particularly wrong with the Belarusian president of the proposal will not work ...


On the proposal of Lukashenko in the CSTO ' JV ' said spokesman Vladimir Zaynetdinov CSTO Secretariat.


...


- Position offers the highest. Said the head of state, chairman of our organization. Therefore, it would be strange to think that this is said not serious.


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- The opposition, as well as the fight against it - the problem of domestic political for each state. And we are in the application of Alexander Lukashenko on the other - a coup attempt.


...


- A good example - Libya. There's a British special forces long acting illegally in the territory of an independent state, preparing to fight the rebels as legitimate government of Gaddafi. This is precisely the threat, which is expected to protect themselves from using the mechanisms of the CSTO. In the case of a similar situation in the territory of Member States' action will be given the full potential of the organization. About it and discussed in the statement of President of Belarus.


...


- In principle, the so-. Although in any case, the coup - a coup, and the legal opposition activity - it is a legal opposition activity. A second phenomenon of the CSTO will not fight, with the first - yes.


...


- If there is a legitimate threat to constitutional government, the public system - the handling of the legitimately elected head of state meets the Collective Security Council, which makes writing - always writing! . Then, included in the action of all available mechanisms to CSTO. And this is not the only law enforcement agencies.


...


- First of all, we are talking about diplomacy, about trying to solve the problem at the level of negotiation. And just in case of failure in the course of law enforcement resources will be put. Not only the forces of collective security, but also, for example, the compounds of peacekeepers. Assistance mechanisms, algorithms and guidelines for the application of various tools in the framework of the CSTO is now being worked out.


...


- I can say that this is the general opinion of all the CSTO member-states: the threat of this nature is necessary to prevent.



Thus, the legitimate government of one of the CSTO member states may soon be able to seek assistance from the organization in case of coup attempt. Another question - how effective will such assistance. ... - Moreover, in any case, the upheavals of an internal split in the population, which means that the population will always be on the side of the suppressive forces. That is theoretically possible ...


The reality, according to Khramchikhin, harder. ... - But still a big question - will fly a team of on-call Lukashenko, for instance, paratroopers of Kazakhstan. Uzbekistan is, for example, will not come for sure - they have not engaged in any operations of the CSTO ...


As for Russia, and our opponents, there is almost nothing to be afraid of them, I'm sure military analyst. ... - Yes, and Lukashenko, speaking about the possibility of intervention of the CSTO can hardly meant Russia. Of course, he is preparing this decision for ourselves, for Belarus.


Meanwhile, Russia's opposition did not rule out that the new tool will be used against her. ... - As regards the possible introduction of troops to suppress the opposition CSTO - well, it's real. Indeed, one can imagine that at some point in the Russian army and the police do not want to shoot people. need other.


The View from Minsk.


Political analyst Sergei Kondratenkov:.


- Lukashenko has repeatedly stated that the Belarusian opposition is preparing a coup d'etat on the orders and supported by the U.S.. It is unlikely that she can do at least something serious. Our opposition is divided, weak, repression decimated. Lukashenko is not afraid of it. Another thing - the fight against crisis. On this account the economic prescriptions has no. The situation in the country continues to deteriorate. Standard of living has fallen so much that is hardly enough for essentials, and the tension in the society very soon may reach a critical level. If the Belarusians with our inherent tolerance for many years suffered the lack of political and personal freedoms, the lack of money and the possibility of a normal existence may well be the starting point of popular revolt. It was his fear Lukashenko, who took note of the great events in Egypt and Libya. Many Belarusians are ready to take to the streets. There is a transition probability of the army and police to the people in the case of the coup.


Unexpected warming in the strained relations with the Kremlin gave wings to Lukashenko. He may well get Moscow's support in addressing these issues. But it is doubtful that the rest of the Collective Security Treaty Organization will support the Belarusian president. The head of Kyrgyzstan Roza Otunbayeva is known for its pro-American sentiment. Last year, at the December summit, Uzbek President Islam Karimov has refused to sign documents on the RRF. You can also think of the tensions over the lease of military bases in Tajikistan. So, Lukashenko will face yet another fight in defense of their heightened concern that he may take away the power of.

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